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Foundations Dec 30, 2025

Narratives pick the KPI, and the KPI picks the losers

How the metrics that attract capital in emerging tech sectors systematically favor the companies least likely to dominate long-term

3 min read
Foundations Dec 4, 2025

The pricing game versus the valuation game

Alpha for general purpose technologies skews later than you think

9 min read
Foundations Nov 20, 2025

Too many winners, not enough market

A simple framework for identifying sectors priced beyond arithmetic reality reveals which AI layers face inevitable repricing

9 min read
Foundations Nov 12, 2025

The option premium view of bubbles

Why we need our speculative manias.

15 min read
Foundations Oct 23, 2025

Moore or less the bottleneck

What happens if software outpaces hardware in AI?

8 min read
Foundations Sep 29, 2025

The AI utility trap

Rapid AI commoditization could be outpacing traditional value capture mechanisms

5 min read